January Market Update

By LINDSAY FRICKS

Happy New Year! It’s hard to believe it’s 2020. A new decade and a fresh set of 365 days just feels good! Starting today, the first blog of each month will be a local market update. As your trusted real estate advisor, I will be rounding up the latest statistics, trends and facts to keep you well informed. My goal is to give you key nuggets that make you sound smart and also educate you on how trends impact your real estate decisions. So let’s get started!

 

I wish I had a crystal ball to tell me what the economy and housing market will do in 2020. Unfortunately, I don’t. So instead I’ve spent hours researching the important factors that impact our local market. Below you’ll find three predictions for the Arizona housing market.

Lindsay Fricks Realtor

Prediction #1: Arizona will continue to be a HOT sellers market driven by above average demand and below average inventory. Listings are down 24.5% year over year and median sales prices are up over 11%. 

  • Buyers: This means that sellers generally have the upper hand in negotiations. Expect to pay at our above asking price with fewer seller concessions. I’m still seeing lots of multiple offers going on so put your patience pants on. New construction is starting to alleviate some of the pressure but unfortunately most of those houses are over $350k leaving lower price points super competitive. I recommend strategizing with your Realtor® (me) at least six months before you plan to buy. 
  • Owners/Sellers: We’ve been in a sellers market for a while so if you’re interested in selling you’ll likely have a buyer in short order. If you’re selling your primary home you’ll also have to buy which can be tricky with the low levels of inventory we are experiencing valleywide. Again, my recommendation is to strategize with your Realtor® (me) at least 6+ months out. We can collaborate on a game plan with a trusted lender to sell your home and get another simultaneously. There are also some other creative financing strategies that can smooth this out. Talk to me if you’re interested in learning more. 

Prediction #2: Prices will go up, but likely slower than previous years. As I noted above median sales prices are up a whopping 11% year over year valleywide. Those are some impressive numbers which really isn’t reasonable to expect long term.

  • Buyers: There’s no better time than the present. If you’re not in the housing market you’re losing out on one of the most stable investments you can find. Houses are getting more expensive by the day, but in our market, rent prices are going up almost 2x as fast. The longer you delay your purchase, the more you’ll need to shell out to buy your starter house. 
  • Owners/Sellers: Most areas of the valley are trending above historical averages for house appreciation. We can thank our strong inbound migration from more expensive areas like California and the Pacific Northwest which is fueling demand and keeping our prices on the upswing.

Prediction #3: Interest rates are low and predicted to stay that way for a while. 

  • Buyers: Lower rates translate directly into how much home you can afford. Speaking of affording, FHA has raised their lending limits which is really helpful for getting into starter homes in some of the more desirable areas of the valley. Need help understanding what you can afford? I have some amazing lending partners who will gladly do a consult free of charge.
  • Owners/Sellers: If you have above a 4% interest rate you should consider refinancing your home. Or, if you have a considerable amount of equity then you should consider pulling the money out via a home equity line to make home improvements or even buy an investment property.

 

And, that’s your January Market update. As always, trends vary greatly depending on where you live within the valley. I’m happy to offer you guidance one on one to help you understand what’s happening in your neighborhood.

Lindsay Fricks, helping you, your family and friends Live & Love in Arizona!

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One Comment

  1. Mr. Fricks

    I learned a few things here. Thank you, Mrs. Fricks.

Comments are closed.

Median Home Price

$325,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

+7%

Estimated Population

450k

Median Age

34

East
Valley

why you want to live here

The two largest and most popular cities in the East Valley are Gilbert and Chandler. Once known for agriculture, the area has now been transformed into some of the most well known suburbs. Both cities have experienced tremendous growth in population and along with it now has all the amenities of larger cities. The suburbs are highly focused around families and have lots of parks, recreation and many family events year-round.

Median Home Price

$261,096

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

1.6M

Median Age

33

Central
Phoenix

why you want to live here

Phoenix is the heart of The Valley of the Sun and capital of Arizona. Known for warm temperatures year-round and sprawling urban space surrounded by desert mountains. Phoenix is the 6th largest city in the US and home to nearly 1.6 million people. Phoenix has just about something to offer everyone: numerous golf course, professional sports teams, hiking trails, concerts, festivals and much more. With an affordable cost of living there’s a place for everyone with the Phoenix metro.

Median Home Price

$308,750

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

174k

Median Age

28.5

Tempe

why you want to live here

Tempe is a city just east of Phoenix, in Arizona. Its striking Tempe Center for the Arts hosts concerts, dance and comedy shows. Nearby, Tempe Town Lake is dotted with kayaks, pedal boats and paddleboards. Tempe Beach Park hosts outdoor festivals. Rising above the city, Hayden Butte is a mountain dotted with centuries-old rock art. Sporting events and concerts are held at Wells Fargo Arena.

Median Home Price

$725,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

8%

Estimated Population

36,241

Median Age

39

Scottsdale

why you want to live here

Scottsdale has long had a reputation as one of the most affluent cities in the West most well known for high end golf, spas, resorts, restaurants and shopping. There are over 27 golf courses located within the Scottsdale boundaries. The Southern part of Scottsdale is home to the historic Old Town area. The southwestern charm, numerous restaurants, bars and shopping as well as exciting nightlight make Old Town a hot spot for both young and old. Central Scottsdale is home to many popular golf communities such as McCormick Ranch, Gainey Ranch and Kierland Commons.  North Scottsdale is home to to two of the valleys largest annual events: the Barrett Jackson Auto Auction and the Waste Management Open PGA tournament. These events along with the 5 professional baseball spring training facilities bring millions of visitors into the area throughout the Spring months.

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