Why it still makes sense to buy in a seller's market

By LINDSAY FRICKS

I’ve run out of things to say about the seller’s market we are experiencing in Phoenix. I’m sick of hearing the same headlines around inventory being low and prices going up. This week I’m pivoting the market update blog to highlight why it still makes sense to buy a house in today’s real estate environment.

Disclaimer: I am not a lender or financial advisor, but I am a very practical, numbers driven person and I love a good chart. If this sounds like you then continue on…. 

I saw a similar chart floating around on IG this week and I decided to recreate using my client’s average purchase price and our local appreciation numbers since they’re higher than the national rates. My mind was blown!!! In just 4 months house prices have gone up over 9%. In the same period mortgage rates have gone up 3/10ths of a point. That may not sound like much but it translates into a big financial impact in just 4 months:

  • You pay an extra $45,806 for the same house due to market appreciation
  • You need an additional $4,580 for a down payment
  • You pay an extra $259/month in your mortgage payment ($3,108 additional per year)
  • You don’t gain the $45,806 increase in wealth through equity build-up

Then I thought: Holy smokes, we can assume that homes will appreciate another 9%+ in the next 8 months (probably more). Interest rates are also projected to go up another 3/10ths of a point. The numbers for holding off purchasing for full year make my stomach ache:

  • You pay an extra $91,230 for the same house due to market appreciation
  • You need an additional $9,123 for a down payment
  • You pay an extra $508/month in your mortgage payment ($6,096 additional per year)
  • You don’t gain the $91,230 increase in wealth through equity build-up

Yowza friends! I’m kicking myself for not investing in real estate in November and I bet you are too after reading this!

It is attainable to get a house right now… yes, inventory is low and competition is fierce, but the majority of my buyers are getting great houses they L-O-V-E with relative ease! Working with a market authority like myself who will help you craft a great offer and navigate the competitive landscape is key. 

Lindsay Fricks, Helping you, your family and friends Live & Love in Arizona! 

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Median Home Price

$325,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

+7%

Estimated Population

450k

Median Age

34

East
Valley

why you want to live here

The two largest and most popular cities in the East Valley are Gilbert and Chandler. Once known for agriculture, the area has now been transformed into some of the most well known suburbs. Both cities have experienced tremendous growth in population and along with it now has all the amenities of larger cities. The suburbs are highly focused around families and have lots of parks, recreation and many family events year-round.

Median Home Price

$261,096

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

1.6M

Median Age

33

Central
Phoenix

why you want to live here

Phoenix is the heart of The Valley of the Sun and capital of Arizona. Known for warm temperatures year-round and sprawling urban space surrounded by desert mountains. Phoenix is the 6th largest city in the US and home to nearly 1.6 million people. Phoenix has just about something to offer everyone: numerous golf course, professional sports teams, hiking trails, concerts, festivals and much more. With an affordable cost of living there’s a place for everyone with the Phoenix metro.

Median Home Price

$308,750

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

174k

Median Age

28.5

Tempe

why you want to live here

Tempe is a city just east of Phoenix, in Arizona. Its striking Tempe Center for the Arts hosts concerts, dance and comedy shows. Nearby, Tempe Town Lake is dotted with kayaks, pedal boats and paddleboards. Tempe Beach Park hosts outdoor festivals. Rising above the city, Hayden Butte is a mountain dotted with centuries-old rock art. Sporting events and concerts are held at Wells Fargo Arena.

Median Home Price

$725,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

8%

Estimated Population

36,241

Median Age

39

Scottsdale

why you want to live here

Scottsdale has long had a reputation as one of the most affluent cities in the West most well known for high end golf, spas, resorts, restaurants and shopping. There are over 27 golf courses located within the Scottsdale boundaries. The Southern part of Scottsdale is home to the historic Old Town area. The southwestern charm, numerous restaurants, bars and shopping as well as exciting nightlight make Old Town a hot spot for both young and old. Central Scottsdale is home to many popular golf communities such as McCormick Ranch, Gainey Ranch and Kierland Commons.  North Scottsdale is home to to two of the valleys largest annual events: the Barrett Jackson Auto Auction and the Waste Management Open PGA tournament. These events along with the 5 professional baseball spring training facilities bring millions of visitors into the area throughout the Spring months.

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