February Market Update

By LINDSAY FRICKS

Low interest rates and even lower inventory continue to dominate the headlines both locally and nationally. For buyers and sellers alike, there is growing concern around where and when they’ll be able to move. In this week’s blog, I’m giving you the download on the local inventory sitch as well as my thoughts on how to navigate the tricky waters of today’s real estate market.  

As you can see from the below chart, in Maricopa county we are at a 15 year low on active listings (i.e. available inventory). I’ve covered this in previous blogs, but the major drivers of the inventory gap are lagging new construction in the post recession era, inbound migration at record highs and the boomer generation living longer and aging in place. You’ve seen it on the news, you’ve heard your coworkers chatter, and me blabbing about it on Instagram…the struggle is most definitely real regardless of if you’re a buyer, seller or renter in the Greater Phoenix area. 

If you’re a potential SELLER then listen up…it’s a sellers market and although there are some challenges on the buying side (see below) if you have a property you’ve owned for 5+ years you should be doing the math on selling. Special shout out to you owners who have homes that would be a challenge to sell in a normal market, now is the time to list. If your home is in need of some TLC, backs to a noisy road etc… there are so few homes that even the homes with issues will sell eventually.

 

The most common thing I hear is I’m ready to sell and move, but where will I go! It’s a great question and one that Jason and I have asked ourselves many times in the last year. We would love to capture the equity in our home as prices increase, but we truly aren’t ready for the next leap of what we want to purchase. This is the classic “love it or list it” conversation. A lot of people are opting to tap into their growing reserve of equity in order to stay put, but still get the house of their dreams. There are options for Home Equity Lines of Credit and special Renovation Loans that can help you love your house rather than list it. Good news, I can still help in these scenarios. Let’s chat if this interests you!

 

If you’re ready to sell your house and move up into a bigger and more expensive home then it’s most likely still a great time to do that. Although inventory is tighter across all price points, it gets less competitive in the higher prices points. For example, if your home is under $500k it will likely sell quick for top dollar. If you’re then planning to purchase over $600k there is more inventory and less competition since the majority of buyers are spending less. The most important factor here is planning so you’re not stuck without a house. We have some fun legal language that can help protect you in case you’re unable to find the perfect home to buy (seller contingency clause). If this is where you’re at, let’s sit down and look at your specific situation and come up with a game plan to get you into the home of your dreams. 

 

If you’re looking to move from a central location (Scottsdale, Arcadia, Paradise Valley, Central/East Phoenix) to the east or west valley suburbs it’s a good time to sell and buy since you’ll get more for your money in those locations. However,  if the reverse is true, and you’re looking to move from the outskirts to a more central location be prepared to pay a lot more for a similar property or make concessions on what type of properties will be available to you. 

Lindsay Fricks Realtor

If you’re a potential BUYER this section is for you…nobody can say it better than one of my favorite local analysts, Tina Tamboer, with the Cromford Report. Here’s her recent description of the current buyer outlook:

 

“The urgency for buyers cannot be stressed enough; real estate prices are not projected to decline in the Greater Phoenix area in 2020.  There is not one measure from any angle that supports that theory. Not only will they not decline, they will not stop rising this year at the current levels of supply and demand.

 

Buyers who have been waiting for sales prices to decline before they purchase have nearly missed the boat.  This is because while they were watching prices rise, the payments for those same homes declined for a year with declining mortgage rates.  However, when mortgage rates stabilized 6 months ago, hovering around an average of 3.75%, payments started to creep up again. 

 

In short, if someone wants to purchase a home and they have the means, then they should lock into one.  They should expect competing offers, expect to lose some opportunities, and expect to do some upgrades. They should also expect to live in their new home for at least 5 years to build up enough equity to mitigate the risk of ups and downs in the future.”

 

Enough said… Buyers, the longer you wait, the more it will cost and the less you’ll be able to afford. 

 

Each and every situation in real estate is unique. That’s why you have me as your trusted advisor to help you understand the facts and make an educated decision. I hold time in my calendar every week specifically for buyer and seller consultations. This isn’t a sales pitch where I tell you why I’m the best agent in the world…it’s a free, no obligation strategy session for your unique set of circumstances and needs. Ready to chat? 

 

Lindsay Fricks, Helping you, your family and friends Live & Love in Arizona!

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2 Comments

  1. Wetterau Laurie

    Lindsay, Love the newsletter very informative very professional. Thank you for doing this . You rocked it girl!

    1. Lindsay Fricks

      Thanks Laurie! I guess I need to check my comments more regularly! 🙂

Comments are closed.

Median Home Price

$325,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

+7%

Estimated Population

450k

Median Age

34

East
Valley

why you want to live here

The two largest and most popular cities in the East Valley are Gilbert and Chandler. Once known for agriculture, the area has now been transformed into some of the most well known suburbs. Both cities have experienced tremendous growth in population and along with it now has all the amenities of larger cities. The suburbs are highly focused around families and have lots of parks, recreation and many family events year-round.

Median Home Price

$261,096

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

1.6M

Median Age

33

Central
Phoenix

why you want to live here

Phoenix is the heart of The Valley of the Sun and capital of Arizona. Known for warm temperatures year-round and sprawling urban space surrounded by desert mountains. Phoenix is the 6th largest city in the US and home to nearly 1.6 million people. Phoenix has just about something to offer everyone: numerous golf course, professional sports teams, hiking trails, concerts, festivals and much more. With an affordable cost of living there’s a place for everyone with the Phoenix metro.

Median Home Price

$308,750

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

174k

Median Age

28.5

Tempe

why you want to live here

Tempe is a city just east of Phoenix, in Arizona. Its striking Tempe Center for the Arts hosts concerts, dance and comedy shows. Nearby, Tempe Town Lake is dotted with kayaks, pedal boats and paddleboards. Tempe Beach Park hosts outdoor festivals. Rising above the city, Hayden Butte is a mountain dotted with centuries-old rock art. Sporting events and concerts are held at Wells Fargo Arena.

Median Home Price

$725,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

8%

Estimated Population

36,241

Median Age

39

Scottsdale

why you want to live here

Scottsdale has long had a reputation as one of the most affluent cities in the West most well known for high end golf, spas, resorts, restaurants and shopping. There are over 27 golf courses located within the Scottsdale boundaries. The Southern part of Scottsdale is home to the historic Old Town area. The southwestern charm, numerous restaurants, bars and shopping as well as exciting nightlight make Old Town a hot spot for both young and old. Central Scottsdale is home to many popular golf communities such as McCormick Ranch, Gainey Ranch and Kierland Commons.  North Scottsdale is home to to two of the valleys largest annual events: the Barrett Jackson Auto Auction and the Waste Management Open PGA tournament. These events along with the 5 professional baseball spring training facilities bring millions of visitors into the area throughout the Spring months.

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