November Market Update

By LINDSAY FRICKS

Will political instability impact the housing market? Blow after blow has hit the U.S. economy, but not even the most dramatic Presidential election ever (read in Chris Harrison Bachelor tone) can derail the housing market in 2020. Regardless of who takes the helm of the U.S., the housing market is poised to continue on its upward trajectory well into 2021 due to limited supply and changing needs of the US home buyer. 

Lindsay Fricks Real Estate Arizona

You’ve heard me continue to harp on the short supply of housing in Arizona. There are a lot of reasons causing the shortage, but the one that I find most interesting are the changes in generational behaviors. Boomers are living longer and opting to age in place at their homes rather than moving to group homes facilities as generations have done in the past. The impact means Boomers aren’t returning their housing back to the inventory pool for younger generations to purchase, putting a significant constraint on the housing inventory locally. 

The Millennial generation, who were thought to be perpetual renters, have started buying houses in record numbers and from a much smaller pool of homes than available in the past which will continue to drive prices higher.

Lindsay Fricks Real Estate Arizona

Additionally, the pandemic has caused significant and abrupt changes in the needs of homeowners. The shift to remote working has homeowners adding home offices to their list of must have criteria when purchasing. People are more increasingly looking at single family homes versus condos/townhomes with limited outdoor space. Cutting the leash from offices has also given the freedom to move out of more densely populated locations like California to less populated and less expensive geographies like Central Arizona. As we get an influx of out of state residents, we will continue to see tightness in the housing supply and thus prices continue to rise. 

This begs the question, when will we see some alleviation in the housing supply? Homebuilders are working feverishly to add more houses to Central Arizona, but we are still a few years from being caught up from the 10 year hiatus in building that started with the 2008 housing market crash. Building permits are up 21% since 2019 and have returned to the level of 2006 before the crash. With average build times of 10-14 months we will start to see this housing supply come online towards the latter part of 2021. Will it be enough to push us back to a more balanced supply? Likely no, but it will certainly help.

If you want to hear more about how the housing market performed in 2020 and my predictions for 2021, stay tuned for my Year End Market Update coming in mid-December. 

Lindsay Fricks, Helping you, your family and friends Live & Love in Arizona. 

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Median Home Price

$325,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

+7%

Estimated Population

450k

Median Age

34

East
Valley

why you want to live here

The two largest and most popular cities in the East Valley are Gilbert and Chandler. Once known for agriculture, the area has now been transformed into some of the most well known suburbs. Both cities have experienced tremendous growth in population and along with it now has all the amenities of larger cities. The suburbs are highly focused around families and have lots of parks, recreation and many family events year-round.

Median Home Price

$261,096

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

1.6M

Median Age

33

Central
Phoenix

why you want to live here

Phoenix is the heart of The Valley of the Sun and capital of Arizona. Known for warm temperatures year-round and sprawling urban space surrounded by desert mountains. Phoenix is the 6th largest city in the US and home to nearly 1.6 million people. Phoenix has just about something to offer everyone: numerous golf course, professional sports teams, hiking trails, concerts, festivals and much more. With an affordable cost of living there’s a place for everyone with the Phoenix metro.

Median Home Price

$308,750

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

174k

Median Age

28.5

Tempe

why you want to live here

Tempe is a city just east of Phoenix, in Arizona. Its striking Tempe Center for the Arts hosts concerts, dance and comedy shows. Nearby, Tempe Town Lake is dotted with kayaks, pedal boats and paddleboards. Tempe Beach Park hosts outdoor festivals. Rising above the city, Hayden Butte is a mountain dotted with centuries-old rock art. Sporting events and concerts are held at Wells Fargo Arena.

Median Home Price

$725,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

8%

Estimated Population

36,241

Median Age

39

Scottsdale

why you want to live here

Scottsdale has long had a reputation as one of the most affluent cities in the West most well known for high end golf, spas, resorts, restaurants and shopping. There are over 27 golf courses located within the Scottsdale boundaries. The Southern part of Scottsdale is home to the historic Old Town area. The southwestern charm, numerous restaurants, bars and shopping as well as exciting nightlight make Old Town a hot spot for both young and old. Central Scottsdale is home to many popular golf communities such as McCormick Ranch, Gainey Ranch and Kierland Commons.  North Scottsdale is home to to two of the valleys largest annual events: the Barrett Jackson Auto Auction and the Waste Management Open PGA tournament. These events along with the 5 professional baseball spring training facilities bring millions of visitors into the area throughout the Spring months.

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