The Phoenix Housing Market Continues To Break Records

By LINDSAY FRICKS

The Phoenix Housing Market continues to break records. The unprecedented low level of inventory is causing frenzy among only a moderate amount of buyers. Once again, I’m hearing swirling questions about a bubble bursting and looming concerns of prices crashing. Many of my clients are asking, “when will this end?”. I’ve already established that I don’t have a crystal ball, but the data indicates we could be in this environment for still quite some time.

Lindsay Fricks Real Estate Arizona

One of the things that I share with my new real estate clients is what actually happened to cause the bubble of 2008 in the first place. Simply put, the construction boom of the early 2000s created way more houses than actual people to live in them. There were thousands of vacant homes which eventually led home and rent prices to decline over a 2 year period of time. At this time new construction dried up and only a few of the builders actually survived the years that followed the peak of the market in 2007. 

As you can see below, from 2000-2010 housing grew faster than our population growth which led to the excess inventory. Since 2010 our population has continued to grow by double the amount of housing growth. Construction has been lagging population growth which has now led to significantly less homes available than people who want to purchase them. It’s in the environment where supply is less than demand that prices continue to rise.

Lindsay Fricks Real Estate Arizona

In 2020, there were 31,475 single family home permits which was up 28% vs 2019. This is significant, but pales in comparison to the over 56,000 permits being issued at the height of the construction boom in 2004. Experts are predicting that this number will continue to jump significantly again in 2021 but it would take several years of double digit growth to get back to a healthy supply of homes versus our population which continues to grow tremendously. 

Moral of the story here: Buy sooner than later so you can experience what’s poised to be another year of price appreciation in the Arizona housing market. Even though it’s competitive out there, I’m securing great homes for my amazing clients. It would be my honor to help you achieve your financial goals through real estate. 

Lindsay Fricks, Guiding you to Live & Love your best life in Arizona! 

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Median Home Price

$325,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

+7%

Estimated Population

450k

Median Age

34

East
Valley

why you want to live here

The two largest and most popular cities in the East Valley are Gilbert and Chandler. Once known for agriculture, the area has now been transformed into some of the most well known suburbs. Both cities have experienced tremendous growth in population and along with it now has all the amenities of larger cities. The suburbs are highly focused around families and have lots of parks, recreation and many family events year-round.

Median Home Price

$261,096

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

1.6M

Median Age

33

Central
Phoenix

why you want to live here

Phoenix is the heart of The Valley of the Sun and capital of Arizona. Known for warm temperatures year-round and sprawling urban space surrounded by desert mountains. Phoenix is the 6th largest city in the US and home to nearly 1.6 million people. Phoenix has just about something to offer everyone: numerous golf course, professional sports teams, hiking trails, concerts, festivals and much more. With an affordable cost of living there’s a place for everyone with the Phoenix metro.

Median Home Price

$308,750

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

174k

Median Age

28.5

Tempe

why you want to live here

Tempe is a city just east of Phoenix, in Arizona. Its striking Tempe Center for the Arts hosts concerts, dance and comedy shows. Nearby, Tempe Town Lake is dotted with kayaks, pedal boats and paddleboards. Tempe Beach Park hosts outdoor festivals. Rising above the city, Hayden Butte is a mountain dotted with centuries-old rock art. Sporting events and concerts are held at Wells Fargo Arena.

Median Home Price

$725,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

8%

Estimated Population

36,241

Median Age

39

Scottsdale

why you want to live here

Scottsdale has long had a reputation as one of the most affluent cities in the West most well known for high end golf, spas, resorts, restaurants and shopping. There are over 27 golf courses located within the Scottsdale boundaries. The Southern part of Scottsdale is home to the historic Old Town area. The southwestern charm, numerous restaurants, bars and shopping as well as exciting nightlight make Old Town a hot spot for both young and old. Central Scottsdale is home to many popular golf communities such as McCormick Ranch, Gainey Ranch and Kierland Commons.  North Scottsdale is home to to two of the valleys largest annual events: the Barrett Jackson Auto Auction and the Waste Management Open PGA tournament. These events along with the 5 professional baseball spring training facilities bring millions of visitors into the area throughout the Spring months.

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