Will the Arizona housing market continue to stay healthy?

By LINDSAY FRICKS

This week I polled my Instagram followers to see the top reasons why renters are not ready or able to buy a home. Not surprisingly, the responses were an even split between lack of down payment and high home prices. I’ve shared some information on down payments in a previous blog, so this week’s blog I want to tackle home prices. This topic regularly comes up in my daily conversations with friends, family and clients. There are two sides to this topic and one is relative housing affordability and the other is hope/anticipation that home prices will decline based on the country’s economic climate. 

 

Here are my three reasons to believe the Arizona housing market and prices will continue to stay healthy (ie growing) over the next 12-18 months.  

Lindsay Fricks
  1. Supply & Demand
    • Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you know that Maricopa county (home to AZ’s largest cities like Phoenix, Scottsdale, Gilbert, etc.) is the fastest growing county in the country for three years running. This inbound migration is a key driver of the high demand for both renting and owning a home. The simple economics principle of demand exceeding supply continues to drive prices up across the valley. Valleywide we only have a two month supply of homes available for purchase meaning that if no other houses were listed for sale it would only take 60 days for all homes to be purchased. Yikes! 
  2. Low Interest Rates
    • Last week the Federal Reserve dropped their interest rate by .25%. This is the first rate drop since 2008 and very important for consumers for a couple reasons. First, this means borrowing money becomes more affordable and you’ll be paying less interest on outstanding debts (think, student loans and credit cards). Second, mortgage rates have been at historical lows for a few months now in anticipation of the rate cut. If you already own a home and have above 4% interest rate you should explore refinancing. If you don’t own a home, these low rates will materially change your payment on a monthly basis and make homeownership more affordable.  
  3. Strong Overall Economy
    • Arizona continues to have some of the strongest job growth in the country. As employment rises so does personal income. Increased personal income translates into higher consumer spending on both retail and housing. All of this means our local micro economy will be stable and growing. Of course, we are susceptible to the macro National trends, but having these important local metrics going in the right direction helps insulate us from some of the economic turbulence. 

 

So, if you’re one of the many people who say “I’m going to wait till prices fall to buy” you could be waiting for quite a while. In the meantime, you’re sitting on the bench and missing a great opportunity to improve your personal financial situation. Have more questions on this topic? Shoot me an email at lindsay@lindsayfricks to discuss!

 

Lindsay Fricks, Helping you, your family and friends Live and Love in Arizona!

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Median Home Price

$325,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

+7%

Estimated Population

450k

Median Age

34

East
Valley

why you want to live here

The two largest and most popular cities in the East Valley are Gilbert and Chandler. Once known for agriculture, the area has now been transformed into some of the most well known suburbs. Both cities have experienced tremendous growth in population and along with it now has all the amenities of larger cities. The suburbs are highly focused around families and have lots of parks, recreation and many family events year-round.

Median Home Price

$261,096

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

1.6M

Median Age

33

Central
Phoenix

why you want to live here

Phoenix is the heart of The Valley of the Sun and capital of Arizona. Known for warm temperatures year-round and sprawling urban space surrounded by desert mountains. Phoenix is the 6th largest city in the US and home to nearly 1.6 million people. Phoenix has just about something to offer everyone: numerous golf course, professional sports teams, hiking trails, concerts, festivals and much more. With an affordable cost of living there’s a place for everyone with the Phoenix metro.

Median Home Price

$308,750

Annual Appreciation Rate

+8%

Estimated Population

174k

Median Age

28.5

Tempe

why you want to live here

Tempe is a city just east of Phoenix, in Arizona. Its striking Tempe Center for the Arts hosts concerts, dance and comedy shows. Nearby, Tempe Town Lake is dotted with kayaks, pedal boats and paddleboards. Tempe Beach Park hosts outdoor festivals. Rising above the city, Hayden Butte is a mountain dotted with centuries-old rock art. Sporting events and concerts are held at Wells Fargo Arena.

Median Home Price

$725,000

Annual Appreciation Rate

8%

Estimated Population

36,241

Median Age

39

Scottsdale

why you want to live here

Scottsdale has long had a reputation as one of the most affluent cities in the West most well known for high end golf, spas, resorts, restaurants and shopping. There are over 27 golf courses located within the Scottsdale boundaries. The Southern part of Scottsdale is home to the historic Old Town area. The southwestern charm, numerous restaurants, bars and shopping as well as exciting nightlight make Old Town a hot spot for both young and old. Central Scottsdale is home to many popular golf communities such as McCormick Ranch, Gainey Ranch and Kierland Commons.  North Scottsdale is home to to two of the valleys largest annual events: the Barrett Jackson Auto Auction and the Waste Management Open PGA tournament. These events along with the 5 professional baseball spring training facilities bring millions of visitors into the area throughout the Spring months.

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